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At the close of early trading, the main contracts of domestic futures fell more and rose less. The European line of container transportation rose by over 5%, while alumina, SC crude oil and Shanghai nickel rose by over 1%. In terms of decline, coke, No.20 glue and caustic soda fell by more than 2%, while glass, coking coal, Shanghai Bank, hot coil, rubber and BR rubber fell by more than 1%.Market News: Indonesia's central bank has made triple intervention to maintain market confidence in the Indonesian rupiah.The transformation bull of China stock market is taking shape. The intraday volatility of A50ETF Huabao (159596) meets the layout window. On December 13th, the market fluctuated and adjusted in early trading. By midday, A50ETF Huabao (159596) fell by 2.13%, with a turnover of 69.36 million yuan. In terms of constituent stocks, the top ten awkward stocks are mixed. In terms of rising, Yangtze Power rose; In terms of decline, Zijin Mining led the decline. Guotai Junan believes that the positive change of decision-makers' attitude towards reversing the economic situation and supporting the capital market is an important cornerstone for revising long-term expectations and getting rid of "bear market thinking" and raising the bottom of the stock market. The reform of the capital market will improve shareholders' returns, and resolving debts, promoting reform and stabilizing asset prices are expected to constitute the new "three arrows" of China's economic development, and the transformation bull of China's stock market is taking shape.

ST Mo Long and other materials companies have set up sales business of renewable resources. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, Shandong Cangyuan Materials Co., Ltd. was established, with Liu Shuai as the legal representative and a registered capital of 5 million yuan. Its business scope includes: sales of machinery and equipment; Sales of coal and products; Sales of renewable resources; Import and export agents, etc. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is jointly held by ST Mo Long and others.Huatai Securities: The countercyclical adjustment is stronger than expected, and the expansion of domestic demand may fall on the policy of boosting consumption. Huatai Securities believes that the macro-policy orientation conveyed by the Central Economic Work Conference is more positive, in fiscal policy (expanding deficit, increasing special national debt, expanding the use scope of special debt, etc.), monetary policy (moderately easing, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates), real estate and capital market (stabilizing the property market and stock market), and expanding domestic demand policy (implementing special actions to boost consumption) In terms of currency securities, Huatai Securities believes that there is still room for interest rate cuts. On the one hand, the current real interest rate level is still high in horizontal comparison; On the other hand, credit expansion, especially the balance sheet expansion of developers and local governments, is relatively weak, and the cost of capital has room for further decline. It is expected that the central bank will cut interest rates by 30-50 basis points next year, but the pace may be affected by external changes and exchange rates.South Korea's finance minister held a conference call with three major rating companies to try to dispel the concerns caused by political turmoil, and South Korea's finance minister held a conference call with the heads of sovereign ratings of three major credit rating companies to try to dispel the concerns caused by political turmoil in South Korea. According to the announcement issued by South Korea's Ministry of Finance on Friday, Finance Minister Cui Xiangmu held a conference call with S&P, Moody's and Fitch, telling them that major domestic institutions are operating normally, and said that the previous two presidential impeachments had limited impact on the economy, suggesting that the development of the situation would not have an impact on South Korea's economic activities. South Korea currently receives Moody's Aa2 rating, Standard & Poor's AA rating and Fitch's AA- rating. The rating outlook of the three major rating agencies for South Korea is "stable".

The REIT of AVIC E-commerce warehousing and logistics will be put on sale to public investors today. According to the announcement issued by AVIC Fund, on December 13th, the closed infrastructure securities investment fund of AVIC E-commerce warehousing and logistics (hereinafter referred to as "AVIC E-commerce warehousing and logistics REIT", fund code: 508078) will be put on sale to public investors. The fundraising period will be from December 13th to 19th, and it will be issued for 5 working days.Shenzhen Railway Commercial Co., Ltd. and Shenzhen Luckin Coffee reached a strategic cooperation alliance. On December 13th, Shenzhen Railway Commercial Co., Ltd. and Shenzhen Luckin Coffee reached a strategic cooperation alliance. This cooperation indicates that the two sides will jointly explore a new integration mode of track space and coffee retail. According to the agreement, Shenzhen Railway Commercial Co., Ltd. will make full use of the development and operation experience of different types of commercial projects such as Shenzhen subway station, station city complex and complex, and cooperate with Shenzhen Luckin Coffee in depth, and set up at least 50 stores in the commercial space of Shenzhen subway.Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.